I have been putting off discussing the holocaust because I did not want my unpopular and heretical views about this subject to be used to make ad hominem attacks on my views about Darwinism. A lot of bigoted people are just incapable of keeping separate issues separate. But I could not forever put off discussing the holocaust.
The
Journal of Historical Review, published by the Institute for Historical Review, a holocaust denial & revisionism outfit, reported the following about opinion polls conducted in the early 1990's:
In April 1993, just days before the opening of the US Holocaust Memorial Museum, newspapers across the country reported "chilling" and "startling" news: 22 percent of American adults surveyed in a major public opinion poll said they thought it was possible that "the Nazi extermination of the Jews" never took place.
An additional twelve percent of adult respondents in the survey -- sponsored by the American Jewish Committee and conducted by the Roper organization -- said they did not know if it was possible or impossible . . . . . .
As it turned out, however, the "startling" results of the AJC/Roper survey were not accurate. One of the poll's most serious flaws was the confusing wording of question 16, which produced the response that generated the most media comment: "Does it seem possible or does it seem impossible to you that the Nazi extermination of the Jews never happened?" The question's compound structure and double negative wording almost certainly confused many respondents. It is also likely that some of the 992 adults and 506 high school students surveyed may have believed that the Nazis exterminated millions of Jews but nevertheless agreed that it "seems" impossible.
What was confusing about question 16? If it was asked as a yes-or-no question, then it would be impossible to answer, as it is really two different mutually exclusive questions in one. However, if the answer choices were "possible" and "impossible," then there should have been no confusion.
The JHR article continues,
Responding to criticism, the AJC recommissioned the poll, changing only question 16. In the second survey, this question was worded: "Does it seem possible to you that the Nazi extermination of the Jews never happened, or do you feel certain that it happened?" The results of the second, 1994 AJC poll were quite different: Only about one percent of Americans thought it was possible the Holocaust never happened, while eight percent were unsure. ("Poll on Doubt of Holocaust is Corrected," The New York Times, July 8, 1994)
I don't see how the second version of question 16 is different from the first. Asking "do you feel certain that it happened" is equivalent to asking "does it seem impossible to you that the Nazi extermination of the Jews never happened." The great difference between the first and second poll results is really surprising.
The
New York Times archives has a page with summaries of articles about these polls and other polls about the holocaust conducted in the early 1990's. However, it costs $4.95 to purchase each of the articles, which is not worth the price to me when there is no guarantee that the articles would answer any of my questions about the polls.
Also, these all-or-nothing polls allowed for no gradation of opinion. For example, I think that a poll about the holocaust should ask something like, "do you think that something like the holocaust happened but that it is possible that official figures on the total number of victims and/or the percentage that were Jews might be exaggerated?" Of course, we have pictures of concentration camp victims and we also have anecdotal reports from survivors, so we know that something really bad happened and therefore most people would be reluctant to say that the holocaust didn't happen or possibly didn't happen.
The JHR article reports the results of some other early 1990's polls on the holocaust. Two of these polls were informal call-in polls and therefore the results are unreliable. The results of an apparently formal 1993 poll were as follows:
In Georgia, nearly 19 percent "aren't sure that the Nazi Holocaust against the Jews occurred," according to a 1993 survey conducted by the University of Georgia Survey Research Center. Answering a separate question, nearly 20 percent think "the number of Jews killed by the Nazis, generally estimated at six million, may be inflated." (Atlanta Journal/Constitution, June 10, 1993, p. A8).
Anyway, these polls -- conducted in the early 1990's -- are as old as the hills. I wonder why we can't have more frequent polling on controversial subjects. There is the same problem with polls of scientists' opinions about evolution -- the most recent reliable such poll that I was able to find is from 2002.
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Here is a quick review of my two previous articles on the holocaust,
Holocaust mythologies and
The absurd book "IBM and the Holocaust":
(1) Despite claims that official holocaust history is based on "meticulous" Nazi records, there have been wild inconsistencies, which persisted for decades, in the official numbers of deaths at the Auschwitz concentration camp. Official numbers have varied from about 1 million to 4 million. Even today, agreement is not good -- a plaque at Auschwitz gives the figure as 1.5 million but the most accepted figure is 1-1.1 million.
(2) The ability to reliably distinguish between Jews and non-Jews would have been essential to carrying out a "systematic" holocaust of Jews, but the issue of Jew identification has been almost completely ignored. "Jew" is not even a well-defined classification. A big fairly recent book that claimed to answer the question of how the Nazis identified the Jews, "IBM and the Holocaust" by Edwin Black, fell flat on its face, IMO. Even a prominent mainstream holocaust historian, a former senior historian of the research institute at the US Holocaust Memorial Museum, said that there was no proof that the IBM Hollerith machines were "ever used to target individuals for deportation lists."
Labels: Holocaust revisionism (2 of 2)
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